To start, there is no “correct” asset allocation by age. But there can be an optimal asset allocation, I’d like to share in this article. Your asset allocation between bonds and stocks depends on your risk tolerance. Are you risk averse, moderate, or risk loving? I’m individually risk loving or risk averse, and nothing in between.
When I see “Neutral” ratings by research experts, I want to slap them upside the relative mind for having no conviction. Then the optimist in me thinks what a great world to have occupations that pay well for providing no opinion! Your asset allocation depends upon the importance of your specific market portfolio also.
For example, most would probably treat their 401K or IRA as an essential part of their pension strategy since it is or will become their largest stock portfolio. Meanwhile, another collection can be got by you within an after-tax brokerage account that is much smaller where you punt shares. If you blow up your web trading account, you’ll survive. In the event that you demolish your 401K, you may want to delay retirement for a long time.
I ran my current 401K through Personal Capital to see what they considered my aggressive asset allocation. To no surprise, the below chart is exactly what they returned with. I essentially have too much concentration risk in stocks and am under invested in bonds based on the “conventional” asset-allocation model for someone my age.
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- 2nd 12 months = Interest: $5,400 x 8% = $432
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To run the same evaluation on Personal Capital, simply click on the “Investment Checkup” link under the “Investing” tabs. I am going to offer you five recommended asset allocation models to fit everyone’s investment risk profile: Conventional, New Life, Survival, Nothing To Lose, and Financial Samurai. We will speak through each model to see whether it matches your present financial situation.
Your asset allocation will change over time of course. Before we consider each asset allocation model, we must first look at the historical earnings for stocks and shares and bonds. The purpose of the charts is to give you a basis for how to take into account returns from both asset classes. Stocks have outperformed bonds in the long run as you will see.
However, stocks and shares are also a lot more volatile. Armed with historical knowledge, we can make logical assumptions about the near future then. The S&P 500 has been extraordinarily volatile within the last 20 years. Quite simply, there looks to be a 3-5 year run until performance reverses so watch out. The year in the stock market 2017 was another banner, closing up almost 20%. 2018 was a hard 12 months with the S&P 500 down about 5%. Season with both stocks and shares and bonds rebounding handsomely 2019 has up to now been a great. Bonds and interest-rate performance are inversely correlated.